Saturday, March 11, 2006

A glass of that "bubbly", please.

The most current update of UofM's fate is found at MLive.

UPDATED 3:10 p.m. ET: All things considered, these results are turning out pretty well for Michigan today. Drew Sharp, of the Freep, seems to think that Michigan's bubble will not be burst. On the other hand, I think Michigan is OUT.

Saturday updated NCAA Tournament picture
· South Carolina is officially a team to be concerned about. The Gamecocks are red hot and knocked off Kentucky today to move into the SEC title game. If they win tomorrow, that might be the upset that send Michigan to the NIT.

Today's games to watch:
· Wake Forest vs. Duke, 1:30 p.m. Ditto for the 12th-place Demon Deacons and a possible ACC tournament title. Demon Deacons dropped the contest 66-78. Good news for Michigan.

· Nebraska vs. Kansas, 4:15 p.m. And one more time for the Cornhuskers ... Nebraska can't win the Big 12. Nebraska lost this game to Kansas.

· Cal vs. UCLA, 6:15 p.m. Most of the experts are moving Cal pretty close to lock status for an at-large berth. But with an RPI of 56 heading into today, a loss to UCLA might still keep the Bears out. If nothing else, it puts them into that category of teams the selection committee will have to compare Michigan's qualifications to.

· Utah State vs. Nevada, 9 p.m. This one sets off a pair of huge conference title games. Utah State is on the bubble, so the Aggies will get consideration regardless ... but chances are they're out unless they upset locked-in Nevada tonight.

· Wyoming vs. San Diego State, 10 p.m. Steve Fisher and the Aztecs held on last night against UNLV and now get a chance to send 14-17 Wyoming home for the year. A win by Wyoming, though, gets them into the dance with an under .500 record and might get two bids for this undeserving conference.

· San Diego State kept winning - Thanks, Steve Fisher - and if the Aztecs win one more tomorrow, that gives the MWC one bid, and keep a second team from stealing another bid. Good stuff for the Maize and Blue.

· Utah State held off Louisiana Tech for a win to keep on the bubble. Michigan's likely still in better shape than Utah State, but if the Aggies can upset Nevada in the title game tomorrow, then the WAC gets two bids instead of one and that's big trouble.

· The Terrapins of Maryland are in serious trouble after Boston College kicked the garbage out of the turtles tonight. Yet again, good news for Tommy Amaker and his Wolverines.

· UAB ended any thought of putting UTEP into the tournament for virtually no reason by knocking off the Miners 67-64. Games like these aren't hugely significant, except for the fact that it definitely moves Michigan ahead of at least one other bubble teams.

· The biggest victory for Michigan's chances so far today came courtesy of Bucknell, which held serve at home and won the Patriot League title over Holy Cross. That keeps Bucknell from at-large consideration and keeps a spot available for a bubble team.

· Memphis ended any hope Houston had of sneaking into the Big Dance with a 68-54 win. Michigan's definitely ahead of Houston when it comes to chances of getting in.

· Every year there's one team that's considered a "lock" for reasons beyond my comprehension. Congratulations to Alabama for that title this year. At the very least, Alabama is back on the bubble after losing to Kentucky today in the SEC tournament. The Crimson Tide are 17-12 with an RPI that's now 54 according to with losses to three teams over the RPI-100 level.

· Colorado was on the business end of a beating from Texas A&M. And with an RPI over 50 and an ugly strength of schedule, the Buffaloes are NIT-bound. With the rout and their last-game upset of Texas, the Aggies are dancing.

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